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The Game is Changing, Yet Again
If marriages are made in heaven, corporate marriages are often made at the end of a recessionary phase
Shyamanuja Das
Friday, October 09, 2009
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In a span of less than two weeks, the IT industry has seen three major acquisitions. By major, I do not just refer to their sizes but their game changing nature. A hypothetical acquisition of Salesforce.com by an IBM or an Oracle would probably be much bigger but not as industry defining as these ones are. Going by history, this is not exactly an entirely new phenomenon. Most of the upturns are marked by some industry changing mergers. So, even if you are not too delighted by the possible fallout of the mergers, there is something to take heart: it marks the definite end of a very long recessionary phase.

The smallest and arguably the least surprising is the acquisition of Omniture by Adobe for $1.8 bn. The time of acquisition did take a few financial analysts by surpriseconsidering the not-so-great performance of Adobe in recent quarters. But that is about it. The acquisition is definitely an industry defining stepof combining the left brain and right brain of the Internet. Adobe is all about creativity of the web. Omniture is all about measuring the impact of that creativity. Their combination, if done rightly, would change how design has been looked at traditionally. Hopefully, creativity would be more intelligent now.

The other two are, of course, bigger, and represent a definite trend. Two of worlds most innovative and respected technology companieswhich had had a soft entry into services alreadyhave made their intention more loud and clear. The $3.9 bn acquisition of Perot by Dell announced on 21 September (on the day of Eid) and the $6.4 bn acquisition of Affiliated Computer Services by Xerox, announced exactly a week later (on the day of Dussera in India), may have well be termed as just consolidation by the analysts. But I think these acquisitions represent much more than that.

I see three major defining trends of these mergers.

One, these two, together with the Oracle-Sun merger, mark the beginning of a phase where the traditional line between products and services are no more getting blurred; they are getting erased. It means different thing to different people. To users, it means, on the face of it, a more end-to-end solution and as some analysts have pointed out, a possible return to an era when over-dependence on your IT vendor was the norm. To the players on both sidesproducts and servicesit means life is not going to be same again. To the guys at Palo Altocompetition notwithstandingthey would not have to defend their positioning so hard.

The second is what one can term as beginning of another chapter in a story that started some time back: the rise and rise of services in enterprise IT. Today, the message from the IT fraternity is: services is too important to be left to the services companies. A very likely fallout of the integrated products-services companies may also mean the possibility of the users preferring a variable cost model in IT becoming more prevalent than ever before. The jury is still out on that one, but that represents the quickest way for services firms to grow the services business.

The third is the implications for India from all of these. In both these acquisitions, the offshore presence of the target companies did play a major role. That is because, at the end of the day, whether you are provide strategy consulting or the lowest value BPO, services business is all about people. And that is something that India has plenty ofand in the working age group. The shift towards services will have significant opportunity and challenges for India.

As one reader commented in response to a story in our website: we Indians think we are the reason behind everything that happens in the world. And like it or not, in IT, it is true.

I guess that says it all.

Shyamanuja Das
The author is Editor of Dataquest. shyamanujad@cybermedia.co.in

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