After 15 years of hype, this year may finally see a product roll-out in the
fuel cells area. Micro fuel cells produce power by exchanging fuel-often
methanol-and water between a thin, reactive film membrane in an
electrochemical reaction. They are refilled with fuel instead of recharged,
potentially freeing portable gadgets from the outlet-attached charger. These
micro fuel cells are expected to be smaller, lighter and up to ten times more
powerful than batteries-once they reach maturity. To date, no company has
produced a viable commercial micro fuel cell. Some of the obstacles have been
technical, while a nonexistent supply chain and a lack of industry standards
have been some other issues causing the delay.
Now,
finally, several fuel cells are in pilot testing, and companies like Mechanic
Technology's MTI MicroFuel Cells, Toshiba, and Medis Technologies are
promising product launches this year. Eventually, micro fuel cells will replace
the portable battery, but in the short term they will act as chargers to ensure
that batteries last longer.
The passing away of PDAs
Non-connected PDAs downslide continue. As the core PDA functionality,
centered on personal information management, shifts to other devices such as
cellphones, PDAs that are not connected will see a further fall in numbers this
year.
Mobile is the new black
By 2007-08, 65% of enterprises will have wireless applications deployed,
with mobile devices outnumbering traditional PCs. Device diversity, mobile
middleware platform evolution, and mobile management will be key challenges,
forcing almost continuous investment and upgrading. Converged devices will
replace most standalone PDAs, except in specialized environments.
Voice rules
Voice services will continue to dominate the mobile wireless (cellular)
market. Although 2005 and 2006 will be the breakout years for mobile/wireless
data, with enterprise budgets increasing and mobile e-mail and field-force
automation being critical applications, carriers will struggle with coverage and
network quality.
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