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“Pentium is dead, screamed the headline. For over ten years, Pentium and
'Intel Inside' were symbolic of computational power, or rather, man's
technological prowess. The name stood for trust, people were ready to pay
hideous sums of money just for the latest version. And with the launch of every
newer version, the previous one met a vain end. Thus, Pentium II killed I; III
killed II; and IV killed III. So, it was but natural, to expect Intel to launch
a Pentium V, after all it had been over 5 years since the launch of Pentium IV.
But, that was not to be. Paul Ottelini, CEO, Intel, deemed otherwise. The
company last month launched Intel Dual Core brand of processors, signaling the
end of the trusted Pentium.
Circa 1975, Vinod Dham, a graduate from Delhi College of Engineering,
arrived in Cincinnati on a scholarship, he had a few dollars in his pocket but
was high on ambition. After completing his MS, Dham joined NCR and shortly
thereafter he was at Intel. Beginning at the lower rungs, Dham quickly scaled up
the ladder and in January 1990 was made in charge of the 586 (later renamed as
Pentium) development program. It was due to this that he earned the sobriquet,
Father of the Pentium.
Yet, there is more to Dham than Pentium. At the height of his fame in
1995, he quit Intel and joined a startup named Nexgen, which was acquired by
AMD. He was briefly at AMD, before the entrepreneurial bug hit again and he
joined another startup Silicon Spice. Once again the company was acquired by
Broadcom and Dham moved on. Currently, he is donning the cap of a venture
capitalist; he is the co-founder of New Path Ventures. He has invested in a host
of new ventures. In an exhaustive interaction with Shashwat Chaturvedi
from CyberMedia News, Dham spoke at length about his views on the latest trends
in the semiconductor industry, the roadmap for India and, of course, the death
of the Pentium. Excerpts.
Your take on the story, Pentium is dead?
From 8086 to Pentium IV, Intel was always striving for more and more
processing power. In the eighties and through the nineties, due to the
limitation of the processors, things like surfing on the Internet, or working on
the spreadsheet were quite an onerous activity. The only solution was a
processor that could do all this and more at a faster speed. But in the last few
years, the balance had been achieved. The software that ran the CPU and the
processor were finally evenly matched. Thus the imbalance that was fuelling the
race for an ever-faster processor is over. Pentium was a representative of that
idea, that notion. In a way, you could say that Pentium is no more.
Your views on the latest Intel, Dual Core processor? Have they got it
right with two cores against one?
The idea is not necessarily two against one, the objective is to provide
higher performance but with lower power consumption. This requirement has its
roots in the laptops, where battery life is a major concern. But now mobile
machines are driving this initiative.
Take the case of a cell phone. Normally, most of us charge the battery in the
night before and then the whole of next day we do not bother about it. No need
to tag along extra battery or charger, and things like that. That's a good
sign of mobility. Even desktops need to adhere to this criterion. With the
global energy crisis, power consumption is a big issue and electricity is a part
of it. Currently, desktop machines consume too much power. Especially, when you
put up a data center like a server farm, the amount of electricity consumed is
mind-boggling. We could not afford to continue in this vein.
One of the solution was to keep the performance the same by using multiple
cores, each one cooler than the big heavy core. By stringing these cores
together, one can get higher performance, at lower power. Dual Core is the first
step in that direction. In future, you would multiple cores and more of them. It
is the beginning, probably the best solution that one could have.
| The next
decade, in semiconductor terms, belongs to power, the last two were
dedicated to performance |
Does that mean that the focus shifts to power, and performance takes a
backseat?
Indeed, the focus has shifted to power and as I said earlier, mobility is
the key driver. Power is an important issue for laptops and more so for the
server, for things like data center, grid computing. The next decade, in
semiconductor terms, belongs to power, the last two were dedicated to
performance.
What about the famed rivalry between AMD and Intel, who has got it right?
It is not a question about who has got it right, or who has it wrong. AMD
has a big leg up on Intel, both in terms of introduction of solution in the
market, as well as creating a multi-core product ahead of Intel. Finally, Intel
seems to be catching up. But I feel somehow, Intel's solution isn't the most
elegant one today. Though I am sure, with time they will modify it, refine it
and get it right.
Is the semiconductor industry becoming too consumer centric?
The semi-conductor market has evolved over the last four decades or so and
has run through its course. Were we to plot a graph, we would be at what one
traditionally refers to as the bit curve. First there is innovation, followed by
adoption, and then saturation. I think we are at the top of the bit curve, a
saturated market, where the cost of semiconductor is very cheap and the
performance required is no longer an issue.
Semiconductor has become an integral part of our everyday existence; it is
present in cameras, cell phones, DVD players, and others. Every aspect of home
is getting the full benefit of this semiconductor revolution and the main
beneficiaries are the consumers. Companies have become conscious of this demand,
and the industry is re-structuring itself right now.
In the past, you had spoken quite vociferously about the telecom
processor, what is the latest on that?
Back in the nineties, I had realized that the race for higher and higher
performance would come to an end. Connectivity would be the key in the future.
The idea was to stay connected on high-speed bandwidth. But, with Internet
becoming more pervasive, there was a slowing in the flow of information. In that
context, I had coined the word telecom processor to put the discussion, that we
need a chip that allows us to have that connectivity, in center stage. At
Silicon Spice, we had created a prototype of the telecom processor that enabled
Voice Over Internet Protocol (VoIP) and even allowed multiple VoIP
conversations. The idea has now taken off in a big way, globally.
What about the race to Moore's Law (according to which the transistor
density of integrated circuits doubles up every 18 months)?
I think that Moore's law is reaching a point where it is a getting more
limited by economics rather than by physics. Doubling the density is getting
very complicated by the day and it will take lot more effort and much more
expense to reach the same point, every time. The primary reason for reaching
that point was to get higher density, which translated in lower cost. This was
the driving force for most of the microprocessor industry for last 20 years. But
now affordability will be a big constraint, thus doubling the density will not
be the main objective anymore.
| Every
aspect of home is getting the full benefit of this semiconductor
revolution and the main beneficiaries are the consumers |
There has been a lot of debate on the road India should take, should we go
for manufacturing or design?
India is a great destination for chip design. Silicon Spice, a company I
funded back in 2002, is a testimonial to that. I think there is absolutely no
reason why Indian engineers who have been doing so well in software, should not
move into the new space. India could easily extend its software expertise to
chip design,
But as far as manufacturing is concerned, one has to be very careful. There
has to be in-depth analysis on the course of action to be taken. For instance,
what is the real competitive cost that India can offer over the Chinese
manufacturers? How can Indian players compete in against these well-entrenched
companies? Before we invest billions of dollars in the country, one has to make
a partnership with potential customers so facilities are not idle. It is like
buying a Jumbo 707 and not getting the permission to fly that plane, it does no
body any good. One might take the high ground of owning a big plane but you will
be losing millions everyday. Hence, I caution everyone against having a fab in
India, one has to careful about how to go about such an enterprise.
But then India is losing out to even smaller countries, for instance,
Intel chose Vietnam over us?
My gut tells me that Intel would have very much liked to do this plant in
India. It was in reality an assembling and packaging plant, not exactly a
fab. But it was the perfect way to start in India. India should have been very
firm on the commitment. But for some reasons the Government of India was not
willing to offer the same concessions that Vietnam or prior to that the Chinese
and Malaysian governments have offered to Intel. At the end, it is all about
business and Intel chose the location that gave them the highest returns.
According to me, it was India's loss. Indian government should have been more
accommodative to Intel because not only would this plant have got more jobs but
also the technology. Sadly, the Government of India was not willing to go to the
extent where other governments are willing to go, in order to bring these
business companies in to the country
What is the latest on your avatar as a venture capitalist?
At the start of my VC days, I had focused on hardware companies, builders of
systems, semi-conductors and embedded software, etc. I had invested in companies
like Nevis Networks, and others.
Going forward, I am doing a new fund for Indo-US ventures, for which we will
be addressing the market in terms of projects in the mobility space and things
surrounding service infrastructure, healthcare and other areas
A word on Indian innovation and Indians, at large...
Indians are doing an outstanding job, across the board. I am proud of people
like Ram Krishnamurthy (at Intel) and others for the wonderful work they have
done.
I think it is going to become more prominent then it has been because in
1975, when I came here there were very few Indians who were given the
opportunity to lead and work on these kind of programs at big and high profile
companies, but now there are a host of Indians across who are doing more. Page(s) 1
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