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PCs AND DESKTOPS: A New Year, a New King

Even as the desktop phenomenon dimmed in other parts of the world, the Indian sky was lit up nice and bright. Compaq was quick to see the lure and went all out, upstaging even HCL

Dataquest

Sunday, July 22, 2001

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IT was the year in which people asked, "Is the PC dead?"… And the question reverberated across the world. Much to the dismay of vendors, the US answered in the affirmative, and so did Europe and other prominent geography. The APAC region came to the rescue, offering a buoyant demand. However, in the last quarter of 2000-01, even this market exhibited a decline. China, the ‘Big Daddy’ of Asia, also slowed down to post a negative growth.

The PC Numbers Game
Company 1999-00 Units 2000-01 Units
Compaq 79,484 151,568
HCL 101,500 149,500
HP 63,000 91,200
IBM 40,534 67,664
Wipro 49,000 66,699
Zenith 59,685 60,646
DELL 15,500 38,000
PCS 17,500 36,350
Vintron 20,598 30,575
Minicomp 27,260 29,271
Visualan 16,570 23,746
Acer 18,000 22,100
Apple 9,000 12,000
SNI 10,000 10,000
CMS 5,000 8,000
Computech 5,893 8,000
Accel 6,480 7,000
Others and Assembled 580,231 892,736
Total 1,125,235 1,705,355
COMPAQ ALL THE WAY: The clear winner, Compaq set a record of sorts with its superlative jump this year

The silver lining was India, and it promised to stay. According to IDC, India was the only country in the region to post a positive double-digit growth rate in the last quarter of fiscal 2000-01, over the previous quarter of the year. The market continued its northbound march with a growth of over 50% in unit terms and over 40% in value terms. Although the growth in revenues was lower as compared to previous year’s 94%, it fared better in unit terms as against the previous year’s 45%.

So what happened in the last one year? The drivers of the previous year continued to take the market forward. The home and the small-office-small-business (SOSB) segments had been driving the Indian PC market since 1999, and the trend only strengthened in the last fiscal. All major vendors, barring Dell, focussed aggressively on this fast-growing market. As competition hot up, it also pulled down the prices. Vendors resorted to playing on the price point to drive sales. Earlier, one could not have asked for an MNC brand for anything less than Rs 50,000. But today all top MNC vendors have come up with desktops priced in the sub-Rs 40,000 range. Vendors also offered innovative finance schemes to lure the home users—they could have a high-end PC at a monthly installment as low as Rs 2,500.

The year also saw vendors beefing up their channel infrastructure, which was imperative to capture the SOSB segment. HCL, for instance, has already built an enviable network of over 1,000 dealers. Compaq and H-P were also busy expanding their channel network. Today, H-P has a presence in over 100 cities while Compaq has covered over 75 cities, with about 730 dealer outlets. However, IBM with a presence in only 47 cities, was not as active.

Improved channel network, coupled with competitive pricing, helped PC brands increase their penetration in the home segment, but the gray market continued to rule the roost. According to estimates, assemblers still hold over 70% of the market in this segment.

In the commercial desktop space, apart from the SOSB segment, banks and financial institutions generated huge demand. The RBI directive of computerization weighed heavily on public sector banks. Private banks, driven by their expansion plans, also ensured ample demand for PC vendors. The insurance sector, which played a relatively smaller part in boosting the overall demand, is expected to be an important driver in the ensuing fiscal. With private insurance companies entering the scene, it will become imperative for players to beef up their IT act. Training and education companies constituted another hot market and will continue to do so in the current fiscal as well. Once again, lowering of prices was adopted as a key strategy to push consumption. Vendors priced their commercial desktops only a few thousand rupees above the assembled ones. The assurance of services and quality associated with branded products added to their advantage. However, the flip side was that the low prices for commercial desktops led to a lot of cross sales to the home segment. And for vendors pinning hopes on selling the high-end home PC, it was bad news as the numbers did not match even their already pessimistic estimations.

Vendors had another ace up their sleeve—more features at the same price. The 4.3 GB HDD was replaced with 8 GB and today 20 GB is the accepted standard. The same was the case with processors, which moved from PII with 533 MHz to the PIII 533-800 MHz range at the same price levels.



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