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Networking: Blowing Hot, Blowing Cold

ISP activity slowed down, corporates turned cautious, but the banking and finance sector stuck to ambitious ramp-up plans. Industry bemoaned the slowdown, but networking still notched up 50%-plus growth

Dataquest

Sunday, July 22, 2001

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A year of reckoning would sum it up nicely. For the networking industry, challenges popped up unexpectedly, but these were managed quite emphatically. Internet service providers (ISPs) continued to scale up their infrastructure, but the excitement seen in the beginning of the year faded as the year went by. The global slowdown had its impact, and those depending heavily on the ISP and the Internet data center segments found their targets were running away from them. The more seasoned and mature players reacted by reworking their targets—this helped them tackle the situation, with the top five growing at an impressive 89%.

New entrants with fresh ideas also brought enthusiasm into the market. Stable enterprise sectors—banking, insurance and telecom—contributed significantly to the overall growth of 50%, a jump of 15% over the previous year. The resulting surge in market size: to Rs 1,851 crore, from Rs 1,234 crore last year.

Caution ruled the moods

After the chaotic buying of networking products last year, a result of the Internet madness, this year turned out to be somewhat somber. Not many in the industry were expecting this sudden drop in the buoyancy in customer mood, and were dismayed by the fact that selling was suddenly more challenging. Network infrastructure providers were the most affected.

Top Five : Shrugging off the Slowdown
Company Revenue (Rs crore) Growth
1999-00 2000-01 (%)
Cisco 360 765 125
Enterasys Networks 119 268 126
63D-Links India 160 250 63
3C50om 140 210 50
Nortel Networks 110 201 83
Average (Top Five) 889 1694 89
Total networking industry 1,234 1,851 50
*DQ Estimates
The slowdown began to pinch in Q3 and Q4, but overall growth wasn't  affected.
Industry grew upwards of 50%, and the Top Five notched up 89% growth.

The flurry of demand remained undiminished in the first half of the year, but dark clouds loomed large in the second half. Even leaders like Cisco Systems and Nortel Networks had to wade through some rough waters. The global economic conditions, coupled with a continually low agricultural output at home, had a negative bearing on the economy. The resultant southward swing in demand for industrial goods forced corporates to lower expectations. To contain outflows, corporates reacted by slashing infotech budgets, and networking deals weren’t spared the hatchet. Gradually, a cautious mood set in—it was time for introspection and return to reality.

Cisco’s business in India remained robust, even as the parent company cut costs and downsized its workforce by 17% in other parts. India remained a thrust and growth area for most of the larger players, with Cisco, Lucent and Nortel setting up huge development centers for outsourcing activities. Lower development costs and overheads in India should see them remain bullish in the country, especially given the changed economic scenario.



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