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SERVERS & WORKSTATIONS: Back in Business

Banking and telecom saved the year for servers, triggering growth and helping the sector post a growth figure of 12% for 2002-03, compared to a negative 15% in 2001-02



Friday, August 01, 2003

Post-merger HP was #1 in overall sales, including PC servers—the company registered over 11% growth to notch up Rs 748-cr revenues in this space
HP led in both the Intel (PC) server space, with revenues of Rs 235 cr, and in the non-Intel server space, overtaking Sun Microsystems
Core banking apps and branch automation by PSU banks drove growth

Fiscal 2002-03 began on a bad note and the industry had a lot to crib about—a stagnant economy, squeezed IT budgets, CIO expectations of huge discounts and one of the worst performance years, as a legacy. Despite all these, 2002-03 was good for server vendors. Also, it was heartening to note that the Indian market emerged bang on top amongst all others in the Asean (Association of South-East Asian Nations) region. According to IDC estimates, India superseded Singapore as the largest server market in the second half of fiscal 2002-03, compared to the first half of the same year. And India achieved this position by cornering 26.2% of the total spending. However, it was Singapore which held on to its number one position in the non-SIAS server segment in the Asean region—though its lead was slender—with a little less than $300,000 of spending difference separating it and India.

Banking on IT
So what went right? IT spend was back in flavor, led by the banking, financial services and insurance segment. And PSU banks were key in bringing about early gains for vendors. Public sector banks setting up centralized core banking infrastructure in order to maintain their competitive positioning, vis-à-vis newer private sector banks helped expand the server market. Projects by State Bank of India, Punjab National Bank and Canara Bank helped the segment regain the ground lost in fiscal 2001-02.

Finance and insurance spending remained buoyant in 2002. While there was reasonable growth in the RISC Unix space, the SIAS market was the focus of much attention and helped generate a fair amount of growth for this vertical.

In total, the finance and insurance segments accounted for nearly 23% of the overall units sold in fiscal 2002-03, while value figures present a better picture with 24% of overall server revenues in the same period. Another key trend that fuelled server demand was server consolidation. Again, the banking segment showed the way and a majority of the demand for high-end servers came in due to this trend. The growing demand for value-added applications such as credit card authorization, cash and wealth management, ATM (automated teller machine) switching and online banking also helped sales.

And this trend is continuing in the current fiscal, with PSU banks remaining focussed on building backend infrastructure to support centralized core banking (both retail and wholesale), apart from serving customers through alternative channels such as ATMs and Internet banking.

According to a Dataquest-IDC Megaspenders Survey on enterprise spending in 2002-03, Punjab National Bank—with an overall IT spend of Rs 180 crore—was the number one IT spender, while Canara Bank—with an outlay of over Rs 135 crore—was pegged at number two. Last year’s leader Life Insurance Corporation was still strong and came in at #3 this time around—against last year’s Rs 140-crore IT spend on its ‘Anytime, Anywhere’ program, LIC spent another Rs 105 crore on IT in 2002-03.

Ringing in change
Other than banking and finance companies, the other segment that doled out the largest orders to the server segment in 2002-03 was the telecom space. The biggest name, of course, was Reliance Infocomm. Sun Microsystems saw much of its growth on account of bagging the Reliance account. Other players like Tata Teleservices and Bharti Cellular too made large investments to beef up their infrastructure. Mobile telecom service providers purchased RISC/Unix servers for deploying BSS (business support systems) applications—such as billing, mediation and fraud management—and OSS (operation support systems) applications—such as network management and control, and call switching. It was orders on this front that underpinned the astounding uptake of servers in this segment in 2002-03.

Besides banking and telecom, the distribution and manufacturing segments contributed toward reviving the server segment in India, with buying patterns largely increased. In fact, manufacturing as a segment emerged third in terms of the overall value of servers purchased in financial 2002-03. Within these numbers, entry-level machines generated nearly 82% of total activity.

Competitive analysis
In value terms, Hewlett-Packard, IBM and Sun Microsystems occupied the top three positions in the overall server space in 2002-03. Robust sales to financial and insurance companies, coupled with a wide presence in the telecom and media sectors, helped Hewlett-Packard occupy the top slot in 2002-03.

With total server revenues of Rs 748 crore, the company zoomed ahead of its nearest competitor, Sun Microsystems. While in fiscal 2001-02, Compaq was the unchallenged leader in the PC server business, in 2002-03, the new HP not only retained the numero uno position but also consolidated its stranglehold in the non-Intel space to emerge as the undisputed leader. With revenues of Rs 512 crore in the non-Intel space, Hewlett-Packard showed a value growth of over 38%, against the numbers achieved in financial year 2001-02.

Sun Micro’s presence in the telecom and media space remained its key strength, propelling it to slot number two with revenues of Rs 388 crore. Both telecom and media continue to offer a wide scope for the vendor. From Reliance to Bharti to Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd, everybody went on to Sun servers. Overall, one major deal alone—with an IT spend of over Rs 150 crore—boosted Sun Micro’s fortunes, so much so that the company reported positive growth of 36% after the previous year’s dismal performance of -24%.

The dominance in the telecom space was helped by joining hands with Lucent and Motorola, which saw lot of Netras being sold with the switches. As with all other vendors, the banking and financial services segment pitched in to help Sun Micro attain its growth numbers. For instance, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Oriental Bank of Commerce went live on Sun servers. Wipro continued to be the top channel partner for Sun Microsystems and the much-hyped partnership with HCL also started showing favorable signs.

The other much-hyped partnership between Wipro and IBM brought in the latter about Rs 42 crore, but it still has a long way to go before it can make a significant dent on Sun Microsystems’ business from Wipro.

Coming in third with server revenues of Rs 267 crore was IBM, which was in an aggressive mode for much of 2002-03, and for which the manufacturing and financial sectors continued to be areas of growth. In fact, of the company’s total revenues, 38-40% can be attributed to orders from the manufacturing segment. Largescale installations in the education space also helped increase sales toward the end of 2002-03.

In the entry-level SIAS space, Hewlett-Packard continued to lead the market with strong shipments to the banking and financial sector, which remained its strongest growth area in financial 2002-03. The vendor’s strong position in the telecom and media segments also contributed to its success. IBM’s fresh initiatives toward building its channels seemed to be paying rich dividends in the entry-level server space. Known as VFB—or the very focussed business—the program did well to increase the company’s presence in smaller towns. In the RISC Unix space in particular, the vendor’s strong hold in the financial and education segments continued to pull in values. This should hold good for the company in the ongoing year as well, given its performance in the first quarter of financial 2003-04.

HCL Infosystems occupied the number three position in the PC server market in 2002-03 with 11% unit shipment share. In the Indian market, Acer sold almost a third of its servers to financial services companies. India is among the few markets in the region in which Acer continues to maintain a healthy market presence. IDC feels that Acer’s continued success in India is primarily driven by its aggressive pricing strategy that positions it favorably in more price-sensitive segments like banking and finance, government and education.

Outlook
The server market in the country continues to offer high potential, according to trends. The banking, financial services, insurance and telecommunications segments will remain the keystones for mid-range server demand in India through the forecast period (2003-04). Deregulation, consolidation among service providers and infrastructure expansion in the mobile telecom services segment will spur demand for servers.

Also, servers will increasingly be deployed for BSS and OSS applications.

Banks purchasing entry-level SIAS servers for branch-level automation will continue to be catalysts for demand, though there could be some sort of a slowdown in the near term because major PSU banks might divert some of their planned spending toward centralized core banking infrastructure. Furthermore, the deregulation of the insurance segment will spur demand for entry-level servers through the forecast period. Indian banks will continue to show a strong preference for Unix for running centralized core banking infrastructure.

Linux’s growth in India will be strongly tied to Internet infrastructure expansion and replacement of Unix server installations for lightweight high-performance computing applications—mainly in the education and research segments.

The easing of the US government’s restrictions on the export of high-technology products to India will help spur spending by education and research organizations on servers that were in the embargo list post the nuclear tests in 1998. Education segment-led spending will have a minimal impact on the mid-range server market in India in the short term. However, opportunities offered by the life sciences sector are unlikely to make a significant impact on the overall demand until the latter part of the forecast period.

Aman Muglani
The author is assistant manager (computing products) at IDC India.





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