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NETWORKING: Home...by a Whisker

An influx of banking, telecom, government and BPO orders in the latter half of the year came to the rescue—helping the industry show marginal growth



Monday, August 04, 2003

For the second year running, BPO and telecom spending came to the rescue in H2—helping the industry grow marginally, from Rs 2,235 cr to Rs 2,257 cr
The relaxation in WiFi norms was a good sign—and bodes well for the future
Next-gen services like IP telephony, network storage and broadband emerged as the demand drivers in an otherwise bleak and flat year
As expected, hubs were driven out of the market, replaced by 10/100 switches

From neck-deep to chest-deep—that sums up the networking industry’s journey in fiscal 2002-03, a year that was all but flat, and one that showed a meager growth rate of 1%. Emerging from the shadows of one bleak year in 2001-02, the networking industry started 2002-03 on a modest note, learning to live with the harsh lessons of the previous two years. This time around, the industry found new focus again—there was a perceptible change in strategy, with top players exploring newer markets in smaller cities. The objective: to bolster the bottomline.

While the first half remained anything but encouraging, the skies did clear up in the second, with the BPO and telecom spaces ringing in largish orders and saving the day. The die was cast—a revival looked set and just around the corner... but it was still much too early to break open the bubbly.

The Fab 4—Driving growth
So what finally went right? For starters, the networking industry once again had four verticals to thank—BFSI (banking, financial services and insurance), telecom, business process outsourcing (BPO), and the government—for driving demand, much as they did in 2001-02. Several banks opted for automation, imparting a healthy ring to the equipment vendors’ cash registers. The Punjab National Bank and State Bank of India led the charge for the banking industry with huge equipment orders for 1,000 and 3,000 branches, respectively.

On the telecom front, massive expansion drives by Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd, Bharti Group and Reliance Infocomm showered vendors with huge requisitions for routers, switches and other equipment. BSNL placed a large order with Juniper Networks for high-end routers for the rollout of its MPLS VPN network, which is India’s first IP infrastructure network to be run on an optical backbone.

Projects like Andhra Pradesh WAN, Gujarat WAN as well as one under the aegis of the National Highway Authority of India stood out, and signalled the government’s contribution to the networking industry’s resurrection. Life Insurance Corporation also accounted for large router and switch sales, which the insurance major required for wiring up its 1,600 branches.

A rapidly-expanding BPO industry gave networking vendors several reasons to rejoice, as large orders poured in with the entry of global players, along with the continuing push provided by domestic BPO players. The proliferation of call centers, literally by the dozens—Prudential and Airtel centers in Mumbai, and an HCL center in Noida—propped up demand for networking equipment. However, the manufacturing sector remained dormant in 2002-03, with a few isolated LAN/WAN deployments at companies like Asian Paints, Telco and Imperial Tobacco Company (ITC).

Integrators bloomed
Not only equipment vendors, even network integrators (NI) got more orders in fiscal 2002-03. Large projects from the banking and telecom sectors provided a fillip to the NI segment. For instance, State Bank of India and Punjab National Bank placed orders worth Rs 88 crore and Rs 75 crore, respectively, while Reliance spent another Rs 90 crore on network integration. Year 2002-03 also saw the emergence of an interesting trend—that of total outsourcing of network infrastructure management. Big contracts from the likes of Asea Brown Boveri, Tata Iron & Steel Company and Whirlpool spelt big bucks for top network integrators like Wipro, IBM and Hewlett-Packard India.

Increasing competition kept up the pressure on network integrators’ product margins, while services including network design, implementation and management ensured good revenues for them. Many NIs focused on value-adds like security, network audits and storage consultancy. In terms of marketshare, Datacraft raced to the top, leaving last year’s winner Wipro well behind, as Tulip sprinted to third position on the back of its booming wireless integration business.

The big networking bazaar
Thanks to the buoyant activity in the BFSI and telecom sectors, the router market found the going good and finished the year with a growth number of 8.5%—for revenue of Rs 459 crore. Substantial orders from the Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh state governments also stood the router market in good stead. Market leader Cisco Systems made further inroads, garnering a whopping 87% marketshare.

Hubs finally made an exit from the main stage, giving way to low-end 10/100 switches during the year, although miniscule sales still continue. As was the case with the router market, the market for LAN switches also benefited from the increase in activity in the BFSI and telecom sectors, apart from significant orders for government projects, to reach a figure of Rs 500 crore, showing a healthy growth rate. It was D-Link and Dax which ruled the low-end workgroup switches market, while Cisco Systems, Enterasys and Nortel Networks were leaders in Layer 2, Layer 3 and high-performance switches, respectively.

Unexpected windfalls from the lottery industry provided some relief to VSAT vendors, though the segment clocked a negative revenue growth of 7% in 2002-03, despite growing at a healthy 17% in volume terms. Playwin placed a whopping order of 5,000 VSATs with Hughes Network Systems, which helped the latter emerge as the market leader, capturing 52% of the overall marketshare. Gilat and Viasat rounded off the top three slots, with 34% and 13% share, respectively.

The IP telephony market also saw hectic activity, with Cisco Systems crossing the 20,000-mark in IP phone shipments to Indian customers. Besides, Tata Avaya launched its range of IP telephony and voice over Internet protocol (VoIP) products in first month of the fiscal. In structured cabling, though huge orders from Reliance and several BPO units propped up vendor bottomlines to some extent, they still had to grapple with a negative growth of 1.8% during the fiscal. Broadband rollouts by many big telecom companies also helped stabilize the market somewhat. Avaya led in this space with 33.5% marketshare, while Tyco and D-link followed with shares of 26% and 11.7%, respectively.

Market trends
Clearly then, it was large and medium enterprises that led the sector’s growth and kept it afloat, as they did in year 2001-02, while small and medium enterprises still grappled with elementary network connectivity. Hubs and low-end switches were still the main attraction for SMEs, especially in ‘B’ and ‘C’ class cities. Though 10/100 unmanaged switches gradually found favor over hubs, the latter continued to be active in the marketplace throughout the year. It’s an interesting phenomenon as there’s not much of a difference between the price of an eight-port hub and a low-end eight-port switch, while a switch offers obvious operational advantages.

In the LME segment, growth was driven by initiatives aimed at building more intelligence into networks. Next-gen services like IP telephony, security and network storage found increasing acceptance with large enterprises. Applications like VoIP and enterprise resource planning drove them to upgrade networks and small switches were promptly replaced with large enterprise-class options.

The upgrading of networks by telecom companies had a twin impact on the networking industry—first, the introduction of next generation networking services by telcos, like broadband and video-conferencing, spelt large orders for the vendors of high-end networking equipment. Second, since telcos will now start offering new services, there will be additional demand generated by end-users for low-end networking equipment—in order to use these services. The effect may be most visible in ‘B’ and ‘C’ class cities, which have not had access to such services so far.

In a welcome development and what should trigger a good trend for the wireless networking industry, the government relaxed few policy guidelines, easing the license fee structure for broadband radio equipment. The development is already creating impact as Bharat Sanchar Nigam is expected to go in for a wireless deployment using LMDS technology in a major way. The government has also allowed the use of WiFi indoors (See ‘The Age of WiFi’).

The general trend of customers shifting to higher bandwidth networks continued during the fiscal, even as CAT6 found far more acceptability as a default standard for cabling. As gigabit Ethernet made its presence felt during the year, a new technology—optical Ethernet—made an appearance during the year, with companies like Reliance and Bharti opting for optical Ethernet in a big way.

Vendor push
Owing to a sluggish economy, distribution channels found a shrunk market as few vendors came forward to work directly with the decision-makers in enterprises. This was particularly the case with large projects involving multi-location deployments.

As network security emerged as a hot topic, Enterasys focused its energies on tapping the market with its intrusion detection system. Cisco Systems, on the other hand, kept its focus strongly on training resellers and partners to increase end-customer satisfaction. By the end of the fiscal, the company had trained about 1,500 sales and technical personnel through its training program—called Cisco University—in aeras like LAN, switching and routing, VPN and other security products, IP telephony and wireless.

Large orders from call centers enabled Tata Avaya to end the year on a high note, with a growth rate of close to 24%. The company continued to bet big on convergence and most of its products launched in the year supported tightly integrated VoIP functionality.

Way to go
The way to go is forward if indications from the second half of the 2002-03 fiscal are anything to go by. Though the year ended with almost stagnant growth, the sudden influx of orders in the latter period has the network industry hoping that good times could be back again. Looking ahead, it seems that the onus of driving demand and in turn growth, will once again fall on the Fab Four verticals.

As the country is still going through the elementary computerization phase with low levels of networking in place, there is tremendous scope for industry to grow as more and more organizations wake up to the benefits of being wired.

RISHI SETH





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