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If there is one dominant skein of thought that has linked most software
product companies from India, it's that the distant future holds immense
promise. The numbers seem to back that up. In 2002-03 fiscal, Dataquest
estimated total revenues of product companies from India at close to Rs 1,000
crore. In 2003-04 that total stands at Rs 1,400 crores, a growth of 40%. The Top
5 and Top 10 respectively account for 80% and 94% of total sector revenues.
The line-up remains undisturbed as yet. i-flex still tops the list of Indian
software product companies with total product revenues of Rs 492 crore. TCS beat
Infosys to the second place this time with total product revenues of Rs 160
crore. This happened because not only did TCS raise its total product sales by
close to 100%, but Infosys saw product revenues actually decline by 19%.
At TCS, growth has been largely fueled by rapidly increasing product exports,
which grew 105% to reach Rs 154 crore from previous year's Rs 75 crore. Much
of this, however, comes from sales of TCS Business Products and Technology
products that are billed as part of a larger project. Its only stand-alone
product revenues from its accounting software packaged-EX-actually almost
halved over the year-from Rs 4 crore to Rs 2.6 crore.
Suffering a visible fall of 19% in total product revenues, from previous year's
Rs 167 crore to Rs 135 crore, Infosys has been pushed to third place. The
company blames this on a fall in demand in the markets that it operates in-Middle
East, Africa and South East Asia. It is interesting to note, however, that while
Infosys' India revenues fell by 19%, its closest competitor, i-flex, increased
its India revenues by 67%. According to i-flex it did not see any noticeable
fall in demand in these geographies.
The general trend among the Top 10 remains more or less the same, barring
some minor changes as Cranes Software and Hughes displaced Nucleus and Newgen.
The market remains highly skewed towards the top three and exports still
dominate the software products segment in with more than 79% of total revenues
coming from outside India.
In spite of the predominance of exports, and even as problems and hurdles
remain largely unchanged in the product segment, it's interesting to note that
domestic revenues of a lot of companies have gone up significantly during the
fiscal.
At Home
By and large, the news here was good. Though an average domestic growth of
13% is nothing to go to town about, given the problems of this sector, it is
also not a number to scoff at. Companies like Subex, Polaris and especially i-flex
had a great year in the domestic sector.
For example, Subex Systems increased domestic product revenues by 150% in
2003-04. Most of this increase was driven by their existing GSM customers
extending the product usage to cover all of their circles, along with new GSM
and CDMA customers. For the next year growth is expected from their new product
INcharge or as operators increase their subscriber base. Ramco Systems is
another player who has seen an increase in their domestic market, an increase of
4% from previous year, they remain focused on the Indian market where they grew
by a more than healthy 75%.
During the fiscal, however, Ramco reduced its license costs leading to a dip
in the products to total revenue percentage-from 67% to 44.3%. The company
believes that India offers much potential, and is targeting the SME segment
aggressively to get 20% of total product revenues from India by 2007.
Pressure on Pricing
The king of domestic products, Tally Solutions, with its accounting package,
chose not to participate in this year's analysis. Based on market feedback-recording
volume growth for Tally in the domestic market at 26% for 2003-04 and taking
into account the 40% discount offered on their products in the first quarter of
this fiscal-DQ estimates revenues for the year at around Rs 105 crore.
In March 2004, Tally introduced a single user version of their accounting
package at Rs 9,900. Tally's distributors say this was done to penetrate the
SOHO and retail markets better and move the product to smaller players.
In fact, if there was one cloud on the horizon, it was the serious
undercutting and discounting that happened in the domestic market. While some of
Tally's discounting was a result of wanting to convert pirates to legal users,
it was also because of market pressures. A lot of this pressure has come from
the peculiar profile of the SME user, which is the largest prospective buyer
base for most of these products. Ramco had similar issues; while i-flex and
Infosys both accuse each other of undercutting in the domestic market.
Exports Continue to Drive Growth
But then, exports remain the bread and butter of many of these product
companies. Take i-flex for example. Though the domestic part of their total
revenues increased by 1% in FY04, they remain largely committed to the export
market with 39 licenses sold in 2003-04 as compared to 34 in the previous year.
The year also saw the company receiving awards such as for being the #1 Banking
Solution in the World for the second year in a row by IBS, and "Core
Banking Solution of the Year" and "Application of the year"
awards from The Banker, the banking publication from Financial Times, London.
Most of the companies remain committed to their product roadmaps. Subex,
which will release its third product before December 2004, hopes to increase its
product revenues to 70% of total revenues in next three years before deciding on
the path forward for the services part of the business.
Nucleus Software, which is bringing out a new product in the third quarter of
2004-05, plans to become a 100% product company in the next decade. ICICI
Infotech wants to increase its product percentage from 20.5% to 50% in the next
two and a half years.
Small is the Word
One of the amazing facts about 2003-04, is the number of small players who
have pushed their determined heads out into the product scene in India. While
many in the product industry strongly believe that it is the small company that
can eventually bring the focus, dedication and expertise that will make a
product work in the global economy, they also discredit many of the product
organizations cropping up.
Says Subhash Menon, CEO of Subex, "Yes, there are more companies in
India who are talking about products. But then, it seems to be more of a
fashionable word rather than the real thing.
"For one, most of these so called product companies spread their
expertise too thin and try to get into different segments at the same time,
which is typical service thinking. For another, when you get into these
companies, you realize that their real revenues are fuelled by things most often
related to services."
"Small companies who are working on products should look at depth in
products, rather than breadth. Products with breadth take a long time to
develop. If they look for niches, their chances of success increases," says
Girish Vaidya, head of the Banking Business Unit of Infosys.
But even as these small companies crop up, once their first pilot project of
product is proven, many choose to either become partners or ISVs of bigger
multinationals, in the process, while assuring good returns, they lose their
identity. The bigger players, while acknowledging the trend, opine that it is
eventually the product's value to the customer or absence of the same, that
will push small companies to that choice.
Says R Ravi Sankar, CEO, International Operations and Technology of i-flex,
"It essentially boils down to how well differentiated in idea the product
is. If it's good enough, the company can stick it out on its own, especially
since the financial benefits at the end are much more." Whether afflicted
with the service mentality or not and whether they disappear as an identity into
a larger conglomerate, the very fact that companies are more willing to talk
about products and consider the same as a viable revenue stream for the future
can only be an encouraging sign. Especially, considering the odds that product
companies face in India.
Made in India: Not So Easy!
While the industry predicts healthy growth rates of 30%-40% year on year for
the next two years, hurdles remain huge for an average Indian product company.
The lack of a proper ecosystem can kill many ideas at the root.
"VCs remain reluctant to pour money into product companies. They are too
tuned into the services model, especially in India where they don't look at
product companies as viable options at all," said Vishnu Dusad, MD of
Nucleus Software. This is in spite of the fact that the development costs in
India are much lower than in a foreign economy.
Add to that, the huge gestation period required for product development, the
lack of product-specific talent and the marketing issues involved-the
challenges are far from over. Couple that with the fact that products, unlike
services, are binary-there is either a product contract or there is nothing-and
it is enough to put off any determined soul.
So the argument still rages back and forth-start at home or in the export
market? Tie up with a vendor or go it alone?
"Products demand a marketing expense that we just cannot put in. We
would prefer to use our expertise to replicate solution frameworks across
clients and build in customization. It has worked well for us and products carry
a huge marketing cost that we are not keen to invest in," says Rajat Mathur,
VP, International Business, Solutions Division, Wipro Infotech.
While there is the argument that starting at home with the product push could
be the answer, many believe that home is not a good place to start after all.
"It is impossible to function in the Indian or global market without
backing from some large SIs and that is near impossible to garner. While some of
them might be even customers on a local scale, the truth is, they prefer to
train their manpower on international software because their value then rises.
Consequently, they push the international products and Indian products tend to
suffer. Successes with SIs are too few and far between and I don't see the
situation changing for the next five years at least," says Diwakar Nigam,
co-founder and MD, of Newgen Software, one of the early product companies in
India.
The pressure and near impossibility of an individual company carrying the
cross of marketing cost is the reason the industry is fast beginning to clamor
for the need to build a collective brand-the brand of India as a product
player in the global market.
Kamesh Ramamoorthy, VP, Enterprise Applications, of Ramco Systems believes
that the public sector and government agencies should take to Indian products
sooner. He also says that organizations like Nasscom's Product Forum should
encourage that action within the country. Makarand Patalkar, chief of staff,
Executive Management Office, i-flex takes it one step further and says that
Nasscom should be much more active in imbibing the idea of an Indian product
brand on the global scene.
Sunil Mehta, VP of Nasscom, says that the Product Forum is working with the
IT ministry to open certain sectors of government procurement to Indian
products, especially defense. They are in talks with the ministry to include a
clause in the tender notices, which insists that candidates should have an
Indian product as part of their portfolio offering.
Knowing bureaucracy though, that might take some time to be implemented but
Nasscom does not seem to be in a big hurry to go down this road, stating that it
prefers to take things one at a time.
Indomitable Spirit
The fact that product companies remain optimistic despite challenges is
probably a tribute to their spirit. And, to a growing belief that as entry level
barriers in the services segment increase, product development might suddenly
become popular. "It's a process of evolution. It's more and more
difficult to start services companies on a small scale these days, which means
more entrepreneurs will gravitate towards products in the future. It's an
inevitable phenomenon which will happen gradually when the services mantra dies
down a bit," says Subhash. "Products will never be as big for India
like the services. This is because the global market for products is just not as
big as the services opportunity. But considering that we are starting off from a
relatively small base, the market opportunities are going to be limitless for
the next five years at least," says Ravi. There are, however, some
unrecognized challenges.
Key among them for the domestic market-a robust distribution and retail
channel, especially if the SME segment is to bring in bulk of the volume growth.
In the exports market-not just branding and marketing, but the available of
money to pour into a world class product.
In the long term, a whole lot of things have to come together and work as a
whole to translate the products potential into clear reality. And it makes a lot
more sense for organizations and forums to work on behalf of the product
community, rather than leave it to small individual players to struggle it out
in the global sea.
Calm seas to swim in and able pilots to steer the ship into port-that's
what the Indian software product brand needs in 2004-05.
Sathya Mithra Ashok in Bangalore
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