China’s drive to become a tech superpower is putting pressure on all its neighbors
Wednesday, May 14, 2003
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Obscured by panic over a fast-spreading virus and drumbeats of war in the
Persian Gulf, a great race is progressing across Asia. China is determined to be
a technological superpower. It is prepared to spend billions of dollars to
nurture innovation and new technological standards so its companies can compete
with the likes of Microsoft, Intel, and Cisco Systems. Korea is spending just as
heavily to make high-speed Internet access as ubiquitous as electric power and
to erect a whole new industry upon this fiber-optic foundation. Not about to be
outdone, Japan is blazing pathways in so-called intelligent networks and
nanotechnology. These are risky frontier sciences, where the less developed
countries of the region are unlikely to pose a competitive threat anytime soon.
T here is a pattern here. As an impoverished nation after World War II, Japan
protected its home market and latched onto electronics and high-tech
manufacturing to jump-start industrial growth. South Korea followed in its
footsteps. Now, it’s China’s turn. But instead of shutting out foreign
players, as both Japan and Korea did, Beijing has aggressively courted
multinationals to invest in China— and has even enlisted some to help in
crafting China’s homegrown technology standards.
Beijing’s latest thrust is putting pressure on all of its neighbors.
"If you are ahead of China, you have to keep on going up," says Bob
Yang, executive vice-president of the Industrial Technology Research Institute,
Taiwan’s government-supported research-and-development center. "Every
country around here needs a strategy to cope with China’s rise."
But it is Japan and South Korea that feel most keenly threatened by China’s
maneuvers. Both are placing big bets on communications, and no one in the world
of network technology takes their efforts lightly. Last August, Britain
dispatched a team to Korea to identify the factors behind its rapid broadband
rollout. British Telecom also sent a group of 10 senior execs to see what
technology was incubating in Japan’s laboratories. What they found, says
Koshiro Kitazato, chairman of BT Japan, "is that everything in Japan, from
tech to product development, is geared to fast, ubiquitous networks."
Yet while technological might can translate into economic muscle, it doesn’t
automatically turn countries into leaders or promote grass-roots effectiveness.
In the battle against severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS, the infectious
disease experts say China has disappointed the international community. As the
disease sickened hundreds and threatened the economies of Hong Kong and
Singapore, the Chinese government initially hid the damage within its borders
and refused to allow international health authorities to investigate. On the
diplomatic front, Japan and Korea struggle with their own shortcomings. For
decades, both countries have followed the foreign-policy dictates of Washington
in exchange for a place under the US security net. Now, amid an escalating war
of words between the Bush Administration and a nuclear-capable North Korea,
Japanese and South Koreans are questioning their governments’ subservient
relationship to Washington, yet show little ability to affect political policy.
In other words, competition is driving communications technology to new
heights, but communicating globally is not Asia’s strongest suit. As the
region confronts future crises—military or molecular—Asia will bring its
technological skills to bear. Microelectronics will be the guts of future
weapons systems. High-speed communications networks and computer skills will
help these nations respond more quickly to medical crises. Technology, however,
won’t cure Asia’s more subtle ills. Competition among nations will expand
Asia’s storehouse of abilities and knowledge. Wisdom, in any region, is more
elusive.
BusinessWeek. Copyright 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc