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Fifty years from now, when business historians attempt to trace the
historical evolution of Indian technology companies, April 2004 is bound to
merit a separate chapter. Within the space of a week, two of the country’s
premier IT players, first Infosys and then Wipro broke through the
billion-dollar glass ceiling. Another giant, TCS, had already breasted the tape
nearly a year ago in July 2003. An interesting footnote in the compilation would
be Bharti Televentures, the first pure-play telecom player from the private
sector, which has joined the elusive billion-dollar club in the course of this
very month. And this calls for a party!
Infosys Technologies, was the first to get across the billion-dollar
threshold with revenues of $1.06 billion for the year 2003-04, up from $754
million in the previous year. Wipro joined the hallowed club soon. It announced
that the company’s revenues from its IT service businesses, including India
& Asia Pacific stood at $1.33 billion, an increase of 36% year-on-year, for
the year March 31, 2004.
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| 1.
IBM-2,00,361 |
2.
EDS-100,909 |
3.
CSC-53,298 |
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Figures
in Rs cr FY 2003 |
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While it is certainly time for euphoria, for reaching the $1 billion mark is
no mean achievement, we take a contrarian view of things. Without spoiling the
party, we will look at the implications of the billion-dollar revenue on the
trajectory these companies will have to evolve (and the troika is working on
that) to try and bag multi-million, multi-year contracts. This begs the
all-important question: how soon will the current billion-dollar triumvirate and
the aspiring quartet match the global leaders amongst outsourcing service
providers—the Indian players are still small fry, and light years behind. How
can they catch up?
Being There, Doing That
That’s because very few Indian players, unlike an IBM Global Services (IGS)
or EDS, are yet to become global companies and that includes even the newly
crowned billionaire troika, which is the closest Indian companies have come to
becoming world players. In fact, not many Indian companies understand that
becoming a global company involves changing their mindset, culture and
positioning, all of which have been acquired over the years. "Most Indian
IT companies feel that having physical operations located across the globe makes
you a global company. But that is not at all true, you cannot become a global
company overnight, or over a month or even in one year," asserts George
Forrester Colony, CEO, Forrester Research.
| |
91-92 |
92-93 |
93-94 |
94-95 |
95-96 |
96-97 |
97-98 |
98-99 |
99-00 |
00-01 |
2-Jan |
3-Feb |
4-Mar |
| TCS |
160 |
218 |
253 |
352 |
514 |
721 |
1,084 |
1,652 |
2,034 |
3,142 |
4,187 |
4,914 |
– |
| Wipro |
194 |
239 |
337 |
573 |
887 |
871 |
1,049 |
1,443 |
2,036 |
2,947 |
3,179 |
4,097 |
5,881 |
| Infosys |
10 |
14 |
30 |
58 |
94 |
144 |
258 |
509 |
882 |
1,901 |
2,604 |
3,623 |
4,761 |
| Satyam |
– |
5 |
9 |
25 |
54 |
85 |
179 |
378 |
677 |
1,220 |
1,732 |
2,024 |
2,623 |
| HCL
Tech |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
649 |
830 |
1,298 |
1,552 |
1,812 |
2,400 |
| Patni |
12 |
17 |
29 |
35 |
56 |
85 |
138 |
220 |
300 |
519 |
741 |
966 |
1,203 |
| NIIT |
31 |
59 |
95 |
123 |
187 |
451 |
656 |
862 |
1,096 |
1,375 |
907 |
883 |
– |
| Note:
TCS results not declared |
Figures
in Rs crore |
Source: DQ Top 20 |
| The
current billion dollar triumvirate have grown over 30% CAGR,
but they are still a long way compared to the global giants
like IBM, EDS and CSC |
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There can be no better example of a global company than IGS’s application
management services (AMS) business unit. This division only had 35,000 employees
across more than 30 countries in 2003. Of these 90% were IBM employees, while
the remaining 10% were partners and preferred subcontractors fully trained in
Big Blue’s service methodologies. Compare this with the profiles for the whole
of TCS, Infosys and Wipro during the same period: the numbers would be 24,000,
21,000, and 16,000 respectively, and none spread beyond 10 countries at the
most. The numbers would be smaller still for the billion-dollar aspirants. Apart
from reinforcing the idea that Indian service providers still have a long way to
go before emerging as global companies, the manpower comparison also throws
light on the productivity measurement, as well as the huge increases in scale
even the billion-dollar entities have to make to achieve global company status.
(See Table How Productive are our Billionaires?)
 |
| While
Indian companies have presence in seven or eight countries, IBM and
EDS have offshore development centers in over 30 countries |
|
While not much is likely to change on the productivity front soon, the
billionaire companies have adopted the global delivery model, with the aspirants
following suit: Infosys is reportedly aiming at having a minimum of 25%
foreigners at overseas offices by 2012. Typically such model involves conforming
optimally to all its three components—offshore, onsite and, now most
importantly, nearshore. While all the billion-dollar companies and the aspirants
have always excelled in offshore, the onus is now on onsite and nearshore,
primarily with regard to establishing development centers and full-fledged
business development offices in multiple locations, staffing them with local
professionals in the client interfacing teams. Predicts Rita Terdiman, vice
president and director, Offshore sourcing, Gartner: "The future for Indian
IT service providers is to consider cooptation with the emerging nearshore
destinations to garner a large share of the global opportunity."
That’s precisely why today TCS has delivery centers in eight countries
across five continents, Wipro in seven countries across four continents. (See
Table Spreading their Wings to know about the locations of the two development
centers.) Contrast this with two sets of figures: IBM and EDS now have Offshore
Development Centers (ODCs) in over 30 countries across all continents, which
ensure nearshore utilization. No wonder then that the Indian billionaires are
lagging well behind the global leaders.
Sudip Banerjee, president, Enterprise Solutions, Wipro, illustrates the
importance of local delivery centers in multiple geographies. "A typical
example is Japan which incidentally contributes nearly 20% to the global
outsourcing pie. While global leaders like IBM or EDS always had local delivery
centers there, Wipro was the first Indian company to set up one in Yokohama to
tap this large market," he says. Both TCS and Infosys and even Satyam or
Patni have now followed suit, though all are yet to leverage their full
potential. Therefore, the first lesson for all aspiring global companies is to
follow a suitable global delivery model by establishing strong local presence in
multiple geographies. Apart from being a recipe for growth, it could also turn
out to be the perfect de-risking strategy in times of crises like the US
downturn.
Enlarging the Matrix
Forrester highlights the importance of vertical focus or domain
specialization in pitching for large outsourcing projects. This vertical
expertise must then be tied with developing skill-sets in different technology
horizontals. The most crucial gradient in this matrix is the vertical domain
expertise. A recent IDC study corroborates this theory-the IBM, EDS or CSC focus
on verticals has helped them build differentiations in their business models.
| $bn
Dream: We Can Do It |
| l |
Evolve a global
delivery model |
| l |
Develop
verticl focus |
| l |
Increase domain
expertise |
| l |
Synergize
domain knowledge with technology skills |
| l |
Devise
different mix of service delivery modes |
| l |
Focus on inorganic
growth |
| l |
Develop a global brand |
| l |
Focus on corporate
governance |
| l |
Maintain financial
discipline |
| l |
Focus on business
consulting |
|
Once the matrix is complete or almost so, companies should strive to
complement it with a whole mix of different service lines for delivery. These
would include, among others, packaged implementation, application development,
remote infrastructure management, data center outsourcing, BPO, business
intelligence, portfolio analysis and now, high-end consulting. One instance of a
successful mix can be seen in the package Wipro offers utilities major National
Grid Transco, incidentally one of Wipro’s largest clients. It services Transco
in different ways— offering infrastructure management and SAP implementation
as well as application development and maintenance. The service lines range from
packaged implementation to application development to back-office processing,
and even Six Sigma consulting. Vertical focus can also be successfully married
to the global delivery model—witness once again Wipro’s strong focus on both
mobile manufacturers, mostly Scandinavian, as well as on the embedded products
development market, establishing an ODC in Sweden to cater to mobile device
makers as well as one in Yokohama, Japan to cater mostly to the electronics
majors.
But developing this expertise in every cell of the matrix is easier said than
done, especially for the Indian companies. For one, each of the service
providers would have to substantially increase their domain expertise in the
maximum number of verticals possible. While horizontal growth or even building
new service lines might not be that difficult, acquiring domain expertise is a
real challenge. This, Isola explains, is because companies either have to train
managers in business domains or laterally hire practice leaders, and both call
for substantial investments. In case of IGS/EDS, an entry-level domain expert in
US would cost nearly $250,000 and the ratio is typically one expert for every
50-100 developers.
Roadmap for Growth
Gaining vertical expertise or for that matter adding new service lines can
be done organically, but global leaders have preferred the inorganic route.
Indian billion-dollar entities are no exceptions. "Acquisitions are made?
for different reasons—to gain either domain expertise or to acquire a new
service delivery method or even to gain foothold in new geography,"
explains Forrester. Some acquisitions achieve all three in one fell swoop. Wipro’s
track record in the last two years has been pretty impressive in this respect.
Its acquisition of the energy businesses of AMS and Nervewire brought it
tremendous domain knowledge in terms of the utilities practice.
| How
Productive are Our Billionaires? |
| |
IBM
(FY ’03) |
EDS
(FY ’03) |
Accenture
(FY ’03) |
HP
Services
(FY ’03) |
CSC
(FY ’03) |
TCS
(FY ’03) |
Infosys
(FY ’04) |
Wipro
(FY
’04) |
Satyam
(FY ’04) |
HCL
Tech
(FY ’03) |
Patni
(FY
’04) |
| Total
Revenue |
$43bn |
$22bn |
$13bn |
$12bn |
$11bn |
$1bn |
$1bn |
$1bn |
$553mn |
$403mn |
$267mn |
| Productivity/employee
(’000) |
$237 |
$162 |
$161 |
$189 |
$126 |
$45 |
$41 |
$47 |
$39 |
$44 |
$36 |
| No.of
Employee |
180,000 |
132,000 |
83,000 |
65,000 |
90,000 |
24,000 |
26,000 |
28,500 |
14,000 |
8,800 |
7,400 |
| Purely for
academic interest: If an Indian billion dollar company
maintains the current manpower productivity rate, it would it
over 900,000 employees to reach IBM Global Service’s current
revenue of $42.6 billion. This would be about 1.5 times the
current IT industry workforce. |
$1=Rs.45 |
Figures are
rounded off |
|
|
Explains Banerjee, "Utilities is the largest deregulated sector in US
and Europe and to service this domain, we needed to understand the nuances of
the business." Another recent example is Infosys’ acquisition of Expert
Information Services in Australia.
Forging Relationships
Besides domain expertise, another essential prerequisite for any globally
aspiring service provider is to develop long-term client relations. This is
achieved once a service provider is able to offer a client an entire gamut of
services top-down, from consulting to more mundane activities like application
development, maintenance and support work. Globally, an IGS acquires a
PricewaterhouseCoopers or an EDS buys out AT Kearney precisely for this reason.
Their Indian billion-dollar counterparts like Infosys hire over 100 consultants
from Accenture and KPMG at one go, while Wipro bags AMS and Nervewire.
Typically, this has been one of the crucial differentiators that separate the
men from the boys amongst outsourcing service providers. The billion-dollar
entities have now realized the importance of long-term client relationships that
yield continuous streams of revenues. The aspirants, Forrester advises, should
desist from technology-based selling like Y2K that leads to only short-term
projects. Selling purely technical skills means the vendors are paid on time and
material, and clients keep driving down the prices. While the supplier can
become more efficient by squeezing his costs, there is a limit to that as the
resources are humans and not machines—not the ideal strategy for long-term
revenue flows.
This brings us to another crucial point about the ideal mix of the type of
projects a service provider should follow. According to Banerjee, all the Indian
biggies today have both fixed-price, time- and material-reward projects as well
as risk reward projects in their portfolios. But more important, according to
Diana Farell, Director, McKinsey Global Institute, is that they have the
flexibility to optimize their usage of all of these types of projects. For
example, in case of risk reward model, Indian companies too should insist on
having a bonus component in its SLA in case of delivery before time, and at the
same time be prepared to face a penalty clause for crossing the deadline.
The Indian triumvirate has also copied the typical composition of the sales
force of, for instance, an IBM/EDS, and the aspirants would do well to emulate
the example. Ideally, the force has four components. First is the pre-sales team
with horizontal expertise, which can therefore approach clients from every
industry. Next is the actual sales team, which, however, should be by and large
vertically aligned, since for them it is more important to understand the
business requirements of the clients. The third component would be the
consultants involved in both selling and execution, and lastly, there should
also be a team engaged only in client relationships which can offer long-term
business consultancy so that the service provider becomes a business partner for
the clients.
Rajneesh De in Mumbai Page(s) 1
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