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INTERNET: Broadband, set to take the leap
The Internet market is gearing itself for the quantum leap, which broadband shall bring-on in the coming years. However, ISPs still need supportive policies

Broadband was the buzzword in 2004-05, but gained ground only during the last quarter of the fiscal. Though a fast mover, it was still far from giving competition to the ubiquitous dial-up, which still drove the Internet subscriber base. The telcos with their end-to-end offerings still had a hay-day while standalone ISPs cried foul regarding the frosty attitude of the regulator towards them. While BSNL retained the top slot, MTNL moved in second, followed by a pure play Internet Service Provider (ISP)-Sify.

A promising launch of broadband services by the incumbents was welcomed by the consumers. Competion between the telcos drove the market to reasonable prices for high-speed Internet connections, which would translate to further demand in FY 2005-06. Also, IP telephony came out as a real performer, accounting for more revenues for ISP's across the country.

The Top Players
Of the 170 operational ISPs, the top 5 accounted for more than 80% of the market share. BSNL, with its all India presence, retained the top slot with the maximum number of subscribers. In January, MTNL and BSNL rolled out their pocket-friendly broadband Internet access services-TriBand and DataOne-using ADSL. Consumers welcomed the offer and BSNL added 68,000 subscribers after the launch of its Broadband service.

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The Top 10

Sify, which fought its way to the top slots, invested heavily in its future growth. The company reported net losses of $7 mn for the year ended March 31, 2005, after incurring a capital expenditure of Rs 49 crore, in addition to the license entry fee of Rs 10 crore for IP-VPN. Sify's collaboration with telecom service provider Global Crossing, in November, 2004 has started yielding results. Its corporate services accounted for 56% of its revenues while other services accounted for the rest.

Reliance Infocomm's investment in the 80,000 km of terabit optic fiber cable will be leveraged for the company's prospective Internet growth. The company plans to reach 4 lakh villages by Dec 2005. With its offering of basic Internet access, Reliance web world cafes, and the R-Connect cards available for laptops, Reliance moved in among the Top 5.

The players provide a host of services, such as dial-up connections, broadband services (cable and DSL), Internet Telephony, leased-line circuits and Internet Private leased-line circuits (IPLC).

Stronger Backbone
The National Internet Backbone (NIB) project initiated by BSNL, which has a physical fiber optic Point of Presence in 71 cities along with the National Internet Exchange of India (NIXI) initiative, has aided the Indian Internet infrastructure. While total Internet bandwidth requirement is bound to accelerate, the demand for International Bandwidth will slowly decrease as the domestic network matures. The .in domain name further fuelled revenues for ISPs.

Stretching its Arms
The Government of India announced its broadband policy in October 2004, which defined broadband and gave its vision for a BB future. A broadband connection was defined to have a minimum download speed of 256 Kbps. Later in January, due to the launch of Triband and DataOne BB services of MTNL and BSNL, accompanied by competitive price slashing by Airtel and Tata Indicom, the industry saw a 291% increase in the Broadband subscriber base, from a mere 46,000 users in Dec 2004 to 183,000 in Mar 2005.

BSNL's subscriber base, which is increasing by the day, has touched a peak of 68,000 subscribers all over India. Bharti offered Wi-Fi, VPN, video on demand and video surveillance as the broadband war heated up. Operators were aided in their efforts by falling equipment prices.

Reliance Infocomm

Now under Anil Ambani, Reliance Infocomm may see changes. It is expected that within the next six to eight months, the younger Ambani would target an IPO, since he can no longer count on financial support from RIL. The different management styles of Mukesh and Anil are also likely to result in changes in Infocomm. Also, the much-hyped MTNL-BSNL merger is nowhere near shore. Any sort of synergy or failing out, however, should not affect Internet services.

What the Future Holds

SMB is a major differential here like most other segments of the IT industry. While the biggies like Bharti and Reliance are dominating the larger enterprise scene, the smaller Internet players are working towards harnessing the SMB segment, providing not just connectivity, but also value added services that are critical for these companies which do not have a strong tech base but have equipment to be taken care of. There is a big part of the Internet services pie lying untapped, where ISPs within a more liberalized framework could pitch in with managing IP telephony and VPN services.

The market share is slowly slipping to the incumbents. The last mile will have to be liberalized to create a spur in the segment and create more Sify success stories. Triple play (voice, data and video) on Broadband, which remained a mere concept till Apr '05, is likely to be introduced in the coming few months. Local content still remains a problem and will have to be looked at seriously to help Internet make inroads in the rural areas.

Though narrowband continues to exist, it has slowed down considerably, with broadband gaining more momentum. In many instances, private telcos were selling extended narrowband connections under the garb of broadband-marketing even 64 Kbps and 128 Kbps speeds as broadband. Also broadband speeds, coupled with download limits in various tariff plans, failed to justify a more global broadband definition. The number of subscribers using 'always on' connections, less than 256 Kbps, had reached approximately 7 lakh by April 2005.

Controversies and Debate
The VPN service debate which caught fire last fiscal, ended on a low key. Except for big names like Hughes, Sify and HCL Infinet, for all other players the entry and license fees was very de-motivating and unacceptable. A long-drawn battle between integrated telecom players and pure play ISPs continued this year. The ISPs, who felt the pressure of unfair competition, continued to air resentment against the regulator demanding a Unified Licensing Regime and un-restricted Internet telephony.

Spectrum issues too governed TRAI discussions throughout the year. But there is an air of optimism with regard to the sorting out of this issue considering well-placed confidence in Government quarters. Wireless based broadband technologies also failed to meet success in the Indian market because of regulatory hurdles primarily related to spectrum allocation and lack of maturity of the wireless broadband technologies.

ISPs further moved towards additional services to survive in the market which was suffering from a vertical price squeeze. Net4India introduced its virtual email servers-Bizmail Plus, which fostered a 100% increase in their email service revenues. The other services that ISP's offered were voice mail, VPN and Internet Telephony.

IP Telephony Makes it Big
Internet Telephony, which was thrown open for ISPs in April 2002, has established itself as a steady revenue generator for the ISP's in the past year. According to TRAI figures, more than 50 ISPs are currently offering Internet telephony services. BSNL, Bharti broadband, Data Infosys, GTL, Hathaway, HCL Infinet, Icenet.net, MTNL, VSNL, Vebtel and Sify, among others, were very strong on this front.

Sify had the maximum reach and visibility because of IWay. Net4India's IP PCO customers increased by 40% last year and contributed to a total of 20% of their revenues. Vebtel, which has 546 telecenters across the country concentrated only on the Internet Telephony business and grew by 238%, posting profits for the first time after incorporation.

Many companies, bullish on IP Telephony, are increasing their IP PCOs based on geographically defined plans. Other than the retail market, players are also tapping international markets profitably. Lucrative IP telephony also had to deal with a sparsely controlled gray market.

Jasmine Kaur

 
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